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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

MWI

Malawi

Finished2 : 2

9th Sep 2023

Guinea

GIN

Match TipsMatch Tips
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Tip with analysis

David NugentPRO Tipster

-10 Coins

07-09-2023 16:19

2.20Under 2.5/No10

On Saturday afternoon, Malawi and Guinea clash in the final game of Group D of qualifying for the African Cup of Nations.

Malawi form guide

The home team heads into this clash knowing that Malawi cannot qualify for next year's African Cup of Nations. They have picked up just four points from their five group matches.

Malawi’s recent record in African Cup of Nations qualifiers is unsurprisingly poor, as they have failed to win any of their last four qualifiers. In fact, a 0-0 draw with Ethiopia last time out ended a three-game losing streak in qualifying.

The home team’s main problem in qualifying of late has been a lack of goals, as they have failed to score in all four of their winless qualifiers.

Despite Malawi’s recent underwhelming form in qualifying, a 4-0 defeat in their last home qualifier ended an eight-game unbeaten run in qualifiers. Their recent home qualifying games have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in six of the previous eight outings.

Guinea form guide

The visitors have already sealed their place in next year's African Cup of Nations, as they are five points clear of bottom of the group Malawi.

Guinea’s recent good form in AFCON qualifiers ended last time out, as group winners Egypt defeated them 2-1. The result ended a three-game winning run in African Cup of Nations qualifying.

Their recent qualifiers have been relatively low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in seven of their last ten outings.

Guinea ended a six-game winless run in African Cup of Nations qualifying by recording a 3-2 victory at Ethiopia in their last away game in qualifiers.

What am I backing?

Malawi have been hard to beat lately, while Guinea’s recent form has been inconsistent. I believe this will be a low-scoring encounter, so I am backing under 2.5 goals scored.

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Head to Head Stats

Malawi 2 goals

Guinea 4 goals

Last 3 matches

33%

67%

0 wins

1 draws

2 wins

09-09-23Malawi2 : 2Guinea
09-06-22Guinea1 : 0Malawi
10-01-22Guinea1 : 0Malawi

Lineups

MalawiP. Mabedi

GuineaK. Diawara

4-2-3-1

G. Chokooka 16

S. Sanudi 2

N. Mwale 7

D. Chembezi 5

T. Mbalaka 3

C. Idana 8

L. Aaron 6

P. Mwaungulu 13

Chawa 10

L. Nkhoma 19

H. Kumwenda 9

4-4-1-1

S. Guirassy 9

M. Sylla 14

A. Camara 18

A. Touré 23

A. Diawara 6

F. Conte 19

D. Sylla 2

S. Sow 4

Y. Balde 5

S. Sylla 21

I. Kone 22

Teams Matches

Malawi
Guinea

FT15:00	Malawi - Burkina Faso	30	W
FT17:00	Burundi - Malawi	00	D
FT16:00	Malawi - Senegal	01	L
FT22:00	Senegal - Malawi	40	L
FT22:00	Burkina Faso - Malawi	31	L
FT16:00	Malawi - Burundi	23	L
FT16:00	Equatorial Guinea - Malawi	10	L
FT16:00	Malawi - Sao Tome and Principe	31	W
FT14:00	Malawi - Zambia	12	L
FT17:00	Malawi - Kenya	04	L
FT15:00	Malawi - Tunisia	01	L
FT18:00	Liberia - Malawi	01	W
FT16:00	Malawi - Guinea	22	D
PEN16:00	Malawi - South Africa	35	L
PEN16:00	Malawi - Lesotho	03	L

TBD02:00	Guinea - Somalia
FT15:00	Tanzania - Guinea	10	L
FT21:00	Guinea - Congo DR	10	W
FT22:00	Ethiopia - Guinea	03	W
FT19:00	Guinea - Ethiopia	41	W
FT19:00	Guinea - Tanzania	12	L
FT19:00	Congo DR - Guinea	10	L
FT22:00	Guinea - Mozambique	01	L
FT22:00	Algeria - Guinea	12	W
FT21:00	Guinea - Cura?ao	51	W
FT21:00	Guinea - Vanuatu	60	W
FT22:00	Congo DR - Guinea	31	L
FT19:00	Equatorial Guinea - Guinea	01	W
FT19:00	Guinea - Senegal	02	L
FT22:00	Guinea - Gambia	10	W

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification standings

Group H

Total
Home
Away

		M	W	D	L	GD	P
1	Congo DR	6	4	0	2	4	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	1	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	4	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	-9	4

		M	W	D	L	P
1	Congo DR	3	2	0	1	6
3	Guinea	3	2	0	1	6
2	Tanzania	3	1	1	1	4
4	Ethiopia	3	0	0	3	0

		M	W	D	L	P
1	Congo DR	3	2	0	1	6
2	Tanzania	3	2	0	1	6
4	Ethiopia	3	1	1	1	4
3	Guinea	3	1	0	2	3

Group L

Total
Home
Away

		M	W	D	L	GD	P
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	9	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	3	10
3	Malawi	6	1	1	4	-5	4
4	Burundi	6	1	1	4	-7	4

		M	W	D	L	P
1	Senegal	3	2	1	0	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	2	0	1	6
3	Malawi	3	1	0	2	3
4	Burundi	3	0	1	2	1

		M	W	D	L	P
1	Senegal	3	3	0	0	9
2	Burkina Faso	3	1	1	1	4
4	Burundi	3	1	0	2	3
3	Malawi	3	0	1	2	1

Match Preview

Malawi will play against Guinea as part of Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification season 2025/2026. Malawi vs Guinea match kick-off is scheduled for 09 September 2023 at 16:00. The match will be played at Bingu National Stadium in Lilongwe. Find more details about the match below, including stats, H2Hs, match facts, and standings. The data will help you decide on your Malawi vs Guinea prediction.

Data Analysis

Using the latest data provided for both teams and based on our database with statistical information, we can provide some details about the chances of Malawi and Guinea in this game.

The last 10 Malawi matches across all competitions saw the team winning 2 of the matches, 1 of the results ended in a draw, and they lost 7.

Guinea stats (across the last 10 matches) point to wins 6, draws 0 and losses 4. A rundown of the number of goals in the last 10 matches shows that Malawi scored an average of 1.0 goals per game. The stats obtained from the results of Guinea show that the team achieves an average of 2.2 goals per match.

Malawi vs Guinea Head-to-head

The Head To Head (Malawi vs. Guinea) details the 3 previous meetings for the last 2 years. The data shows the end score in the last matches - Malawi won 0, while Guinea won 2 of the games. The number of ties is 1. The last time they met was on 09 September 2023, when the match's final score was 2:2.

Malawi - Guinea Livestream

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